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NFL Player Prop Bets – Week 11

All Player Prop lines are from the DraftKings Sportsbook.

This will be updated throughout the week as new props are posted.

On November 17, 2021:

The Play: Najee Harris (PIT) Rush + Receiving Yards

The Line: 115.5 Rush + Receiving Yards

The Pick: Under (-115)

The Chargers are giving up the 3rd fewest receptions to RBs (3.78) on the season and over the past three games (3.0). There’s a lot of outs for the under.

The Play: Tyler Boyd (CIN) Receiving Yards

The Line: 37.5 Receiving Yards

The Pick: Over (-120)

Boyd averages 45.4 yards/gm. Week 9 stat line seems like a low outlier.

On November 18, 2021:

The Play: Marcedes Lewis (GB) Receiving Yards

The Line: 13.5 Receiving Yards

The Pick: Under (-120)

Lewis primarily blocks and splits receiving duties with Josiah Deguara. Lewis averages 11.7 yards/game and the Vikings’ defense ranks 4th vs. TEs in receptions allowed/game (3.56).

The Play: Tua Tagovailoa (MIA) Pass Attempts

The Line: 33.5 Pass Attempts

The Pick: Over (-125)

The Jets and Dolphins have the 2nd and 3rd highest pass play %, respectively. The Dolphins rank 4th fastest in total seconds/play and the Jets rank 9th. This game environment should be of high pass volume and quick pace. It may not necessarily shootout in points, but it should in attempts.

The Play: Dalton Schultz (DAL) Receiving Yards

The Line: 47.5 Receiving Yards

The Pick: Under (-115)

Schultz has averaged 54.1 yards/gm in the 7 games without WR Michael Gallup this season. In the two games with Gallup in the lineup, Schultz averaged 29.5 yards/gm.

On November 19, 2021:

The Play: Sammy Watkins (BAL) Receiving Yards

The Line: 23.5 Receiving Yards

The Pick: Under (-115)

Of the possible receiving options in snaps for the Ravens last week, Watkins ranked 5th. He ranked 6th in targets received with 3, for a 1-7-0 receiving line. Watkins is close to being phased out of the offense.

On November 20, 2021:

The Play: D’Andre Swift (DET) Rush + Receiving Yards

The Line: 97.5 Rush + Receiving Yards

The Pick: Under (-115)

RB Jamaal Williams (thigh) and his 30.6% snap share returns this week. Williams should cut into some of the two-down role.

The Play: Christian McCaffrey (CAR) Rush Attempts

The Line: 14.5 Rush Attempts

The Pick: Over (-125)

As home favorites and healthy, McCaffrey should see his ground game increase.

The Play: Jeff Wilson Jr. (SF) Rush Attempts

The Line: 19.5 Rush Attempts

The Pick: Under (-110)

Multiple players at various positions could see carries from the 49ers (e.g. Deebo Samuel).

Scorecard: NFL Player Props

Last Week: 3-3

Cumulative: 35-27-1

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